ACUS02 KWNS 290655
SWODY2
SPC AC 290653

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1253 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024

Valid 301200Z - 311200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorm chances appear low on Monday.

...Synopsis...
A departing upper-level trough will lift northeast early Monday as a
surface cold front moves offshore over New England. An upstream
upper-level trough will amplify as it moves into the central Plains,
contributing to the development of a surface low near the KS/MO
border by afternoon. Low-level moisture will begin to return north
across the lower Mississippi Valley/Ark-La-Miss region, however
richer moisture will remain confined to near the TX/LA coast. This
will limit destabilization potential even as ascent/cooling
mid-level temperatures develop near the surface low. Thus, while an
isolated lightning strike will be possible in the presence of meager
MUCAPE (around 100-200 J/kg) across the mid-Mississippi Valley area
Monday night, overall coverage should be less than 10%.

Elsewhere across the CONUS, generally dry/stable conditions should
preclude thunderstorm potential.

..Bunting.. 12/29/2024

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