ACUS11 KWNS 291332
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291332 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-291500-

Mesoscale Discussion 2318
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0732 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024

Areas affected...the Lower Savannah Valley to southern NC

Concerning...Tornado Watch 724...

Valid 291332Z - 291500Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 724 continues.

SUMMARY...A few brief tornadoes and sporadic strong gusts should
remain possible through midday with an extensive narrow QLCS. A
downstream WW issuance is possible by late morning.

DISCUSSION...Forward motion of a long-lived QLCS has remained
steadily eastward at 40-45 kts. Despite rather strong low-level
flow, measured surface gusts have consistently peaked at around 40
kts across multiple sites in SC/GA (GMU, GSP, and AGS) during the
past hour. The lack of stronger gusts is in part due to the scant
instability and weak tropospheric lapse rates. Downstream 12Z
soundings at CHS, MHX, and GSO sampled negligible buoyancy,
suggesting that appreciable intensification is unlikely. Still, with
0-1 km shear of 40-50 kts per the CAE VWP, transient mesovortices
will remain possible, yielding brief tornado potential. These may
tend to be more focused from the Lower Savannah Valley across SC
where mid 60s surface dew points are sustained.

..Grams.. 12/29/2024

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   34668143 35228167 35538110 35608031 35317969 34867917
            34217870 33887875 33117903 32487996 31938071 31678123
            31998198 33368144 34668143 

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