ACUS11 KWNS 081254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081253 
LAZ000-TXZ000-081500-

Mesoscale Discussion 1557
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0753 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

Areas affected...southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 513...

Valid 081253Z - 081500Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 513 continues.

SUMMARY...The tornado threat with Beryl continues today.

DISCUSSION...Currently the primary tornado threat is associated with
a few bands of supercells across southeast Texas. Some guidance
indicates more cellular convection across southwest Louisiana and
eastern Texas by later this morning which could pose some tornado
threat given the wind profile shown by the LCH VWP. Therefore, when
tornado watch 513 expires at 15Z, a new watch may be needed which
may also need to be expanded farther inland to cover this threat as
it develops northward through the day.

..Bentley/Smith.. 07/08/2024

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON   28569511 28989524 29639549 30079568 30689532 31419468
            31629417 31739365 31539322 31309293 30399288 29929298
            29689310 29529356 29279430 28569511 
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