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Message   Mike Powell    All   TD Three heading for Mexi   June 30, 2024
 8:10 PM *  

336
WTNT33 KNHC 302329
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032024
700 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...DEPRESSION MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO...
...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 95.6W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
the next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 95.6 West.  The
depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern
Mexico late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to
become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight.
The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves inland
over eastern Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico into
Monday, with localized maximum totals of 15 inches possible.  This
rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible
in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Three, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
later tonight.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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