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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective   December 1, 2024
 9:45 AM *  

ACUS01 KWNS 011300
SWODY1
SPC AC 011258

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 AM CST Sun Dec 01 2024

Valid 011300Z - 021200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

...Discussion...
Longwave troughing and prevalent cyclonic flow aloft will continue
to prevail east of the Rockies while an upper ridge builds over the
West. A cool/stable pattern via the influence of high pressure and
continental trajectories will considerably limit convective
potential today and tonight. Shallow convection will persist in lake
effect bands off Lakes Erie and Ontario, but the potential for
lightning flashes should remain limited. Across far south Texas,
warm advection along a coastal front near the lower Texas coast
could lead to an increase in convection, although the potential for
thunderstorms inland is expected to remain low.

..Guyer/Broyles.. 12/01/2024

$$
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