ABNT20 KNHC 211152
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
A small area of showers and thunderstorms persists with a low
pressure system located around 150 miles east-southeast of
Jacksonville, Florida. An Air Force Reserve aircraft is currently
investigating the system to determine if the low has a well-defined
surface circulation. Environmental conditions remain marginally
conducive for some additional development, and this system could
become a short-lived tropical depression as the low moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to reach
the coast of northeastern Florida or Georgia by tonight, and
interests there should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern
Mexico later today.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche
tonight, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward
or northwestward. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg
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