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   Networked Database  General Weather-related Discussi...   [1913 / 2025] RSS
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Message   Mike Powell    All   Severe Threat IL/IN/MI   March 30, 2025
 5:16 PM *  

There are currently tornadoes on the ground in SW and South Central
Michigan.

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

ACUS11 KWNS 301905
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301905 
INZ000-MIZ000-ILZ000-302100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0301
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0205 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

Areas affected...Portions of eastern Illinois into central/northern
Indiana and southwest Lower Michigan

Concerning...Tornado Watch 70...71...

Valid 301905Z - 302100Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 70, 71 continues.

SUMMARY...There is an increasing risk for severe wind gusts in
central/northern Indiana and southern Lower Michigan.

DISCUSSION...An organized line of storms continues to move northeast
in parts of eastern Illinois. Several measured and estimated severe
gusts occurred in the Champaign, IL vicinity recently. KILX radar
shows strong outbound winds within this line. With continued surface
heating of mostly clear/partly cloudy skies in Indiana and forcing
from the shortwave trough, the potential for severe wind gusts
should continue through the afternoon. Low-level shear is not overly
strong per downstream VAD data, but QLCS tornadoes remain possible.
The greatest potential for a tornado (and large hail) would likely
exist on the southern flank of the line where storms may remain more
discrete.

..Wendt.. 03/30/2025

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...

LAT...LON   39098853 39998830 40708824 41268793 41628702 42008624
            42138594 42098569 41668548 40968535 40408537 40138538
            39098853 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

$$
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