ACUS02 KWNS 100630
SWODY2
SPC AC 100628

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1228 AM CST Sun Nov 10 2024

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms are not expected Monday or Monday night.

...Southeast...
Isolated, elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing across parts of the
Carolina Coastal Plain. Weak tropospheric lapse rates will be a
limiting factor to updraft intensity. Low-level flow will become
increasingly veered during the day, yielding a predominately zonal
flow regime. This should result in thunder potential shifting
entirely offshore around midday.

A few thunderstorms embedded within a corridor of slow-moving
convection will be possible along a portion of the central Gulf
Coast, before activity gradually wanes during the day. Isolated
thunderstorms may also develop across a portion of south FL during
the afternoon.

...Western WA/OR and northern CA...
A leading shortwave trough and attendant surface cold front should
move onshore Monday morning. In its wake, low to mid-level lapse
rates will steepen amid meager buoyancy. An upstream shortwave
impulse and persistent onshore low-level winds should support
scattered, low-topped convection. Some of this will be sufficiently
deep to foster sporadic lightning through Monday evening.
Thunderstorm probabilities will diminish Monday night as the plume
of steep mid-level lapse rates shifts farther inland.

..Grams.. 11/10/2024

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