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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic   October 25, 2024
 3:13 PM *  

ACUS02 KWNS 251657
SWODY2
SPC AC 251656

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Little thunderstorm activity is forecast across the contiguous
states on Saturday. An isolated weak thunderstorm cannot be ruled
out near the ArkLaTex.

...Synopsis...
An upper ridge will sharpen over the Rockies on Saturday as a large
upper trough over the Great Lakes shifts east, and another upper
trough spreads into the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin. High
pressure will be prominent from the Plains into the Midwest, and
over much of the intermountain west during the day.

In the wake of the northeastern trough, a weak front is forecast to
extend roughly from the TN Valley into TX, with an area of 60s F
dewpoints extending northward toward the ArkLaTex. While lift will
be weak, heating within the moist plume will result in an uncapped
air mass, and a few daytime thunderstorms cannot be ruled out.
Severe weather is unlikely as shear will be weak, and midlevel lapse
rates poor.

Elsewhere, increasing large-scale ascent across the Pacific
Northwest with substantial cooling aloft will occur overnight, with
low-topped convection primarily offshore.

..Jewell.. 10/25/2024

$$
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