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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective   October 25, 2024
 10:02 AM *  

ACUS01 KWNS 251230
SWODY1
SPC AC 251228

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0728 AM CDT Fri Oct 25 2024

Valid 251300Z - 261200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected today.

...Discussion...
A modestly amplified/progressive large-scale pattern will persist
over the CONUS, including the deamplification of an eastward-moving
shortwave trough over the Midwest/Ohio Valley. A cold front will
similarly continue east-southeastward across the Ohio
Valley/Mid-South toward the Appalachians and Tennessee Valley
through tonight. Widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing this
morning across the Ozarks near the cold front, and also
northeastward into Indiana and Ohio to the north of a warm front
across the Lower Ohio Valley. A modest increase in thunderstorm
coverage should regionally occur into the afternoon, but weak/thin
buoyancy and meager effective shear within the more unstable warm
sector are expected to limit severe thunderstorm potential.

..Guyer/Goss.. 10/25/2024

$$
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