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Message   Mike Powell    All   DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic   October 21, 2024
 8:58 AM *  

ACUS02 KWNS 210546
SWODY2
SPC AC 210544

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CDT Mon Oct 21 2024

Valid 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are forecast on Tuesday.

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will be absorbed into the broader westerlies on
Tuesday as it traverses from the Midwest to the Upper Great Lakes.
Some remnant convection is expected to be ongoing Tuesday morning in
the vicinity of this trough across Missouri, but this convection
should weaken by mid-day as it moves into drier air.

Ridging will start to build in the western CONUS with an extended
moderately strong jet-stream from the Oregon/California border to
the Upper Midwest. At the surface, a strong cold front will traverse
the northern Plains during the day. Some showers and thunderstorms
are expected along this frontal boundary, as temperatures cool aloft
and forcing increases ahead of an amplifying mid-level trough
approaching the area from the southern Canadian Prairie Provinces.
Instability will be limited, but may be sufficient for some
lightning flashes.

..Bentley.. 10/21/2024

$$
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