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Message   Mike Powell    All   OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur   October 9, 2024
 8:03 AM *  

ABNT20 KNHC 091140
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Leslie, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on
Hurricane Milton, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Southwestern Atlantic (AL93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a gale-force non-tropical
low pressure system located about 375 miles west-southwest of
Bermuda have become less organized during the last several hours.
Although environmental conditions are becoming less favorable for
development, a short-lived tropical or subtropical storm could
still form today or this evening while the low moves northeastward
to east-northeastward at around 15 mph.  Upper-level winds are
forecast to become too strong for further development later tonight.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings,
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa
tonight or early Thursday.  Afterward, environmental conditions
appear only marginally favorable for some limited development of
this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward across
the eastern tropical Atlantic and through the Cabo Verde Islands on
Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen
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