ACUS02 KWNS 140545
SWODY2
SPC AC 140544

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1244 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Organized severe thunderstorms are not expected Sunday.

...Discussion...
A blocking upper pattern will hold in the East, with a stout
mid-level anticyclone over the Lower Great Lakes and the remnants of
post-TC Francine in the Lower MS Valley. A strong mid/upper jet
approaching the Pacific Coast will yield a closed mid/upper low over
northern to central CA by Sunday night. Strengthening large-scale
ascent downstream should foster a broadening area of low-probability
thunderstorm potential in the West amid scant buoyancy north of AZ.
During the late afternoon, moderate MLCAPE should develop across
parts of the western Great Plains to central TX. This could be
sufficient for a few strong, but pulse-type thunderstorms given
predominantly weak shear.

..Grams.. 09/14/2024

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