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From | To | Subject | Date/Time | |||
Mike Powell | All | PTC Francine Flood Threat |
September 13, 2024 8:24 AM * |
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363 WTNT31 KWNH 130847 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine Advisory Number 19 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL062024 400 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024 ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.5N 91.5W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM WNW OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- SUMMARY OF WATCHES IN EFFECT: Flood Watches are in effect for portions of the Tennessee Valley and Southeast. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Francine was located near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 91.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue before the system dissipates later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (35 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before the system dissipates. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Francine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC. RAINFALL: Through Sunday, additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated totals around 8 inches, are expected across portions of central and northern Alabama. This rainfall could lead to locally considerable flash and urban flooding. Additional rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is expected across portions of northeastern Mississippi, western Tennessee, western Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Francine, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?ero. For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS1 with the WMO header ACUS41 KWBC or at the following link: http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfds... . NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Chenard --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (618:250/1) |
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