421 
AXNT20 KNHC 091051
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Feb 9 2025

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Caribbean Gale Warning: 
A tight pressure gradient between high pressure centered along 30N
and lower pressure over northwestern Colombia will continue to 
support strong to near-gale winds in the south-central Caribbean 
through midweek. These winds will peak at gale- force during the 
nighttime and early morning hours offshore of Barranquilla, 
Colombia. Seas are expected to peak at 11 to 13 ft near the 
highest winds.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... 

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic Ocean along the coast of 
Sierra Leone near Freetown, then runs southwestward to 03N20W. 
An ITCZ continues from 03N20W to 00N30W. Scattered moderate 
convection is seen near the ITCZ S of 02N between 23W and 30W. 

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge extends SW from a 1022 mb high near the Florida 
Big Bend area across the Gulf. Moderate SE winds with seas of 2 to
4 ft dominate the basin, except for the NE Gulf where winds are
gentle and seas are 2 ft or less. Patchy fog is restricting
visibility within about 90 nm of the U.S. coastline.

For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds are expected each afternoon and
evening offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula through late week. 
Otherwise, high pressure will support gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas through mid-week. A cold front is likely 
to move off the Texas coast late week. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

Please read the Special Feature Section about a Gale Warning
offshore Colombia.

High pressure centered N of the region sustains trade winds 
across the entire basin. Strong ENE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft 
are present in the central and SW basin, as well as in the
Windward Passage. Fresh ENE winds and 6 to 9 ft seas are evident
in the eastern basin, including the Mona and Atlantic Passages. 
Gentle to moderate ENE to ESE winds and 3 to 5 ft prevail for the 
rest of the Caribbean Sea.

For the forecast, fresh E to NE trade winds and rough seas are 
expected across southwestern and central Caribbean through the 
week, with winds pulsing to strong speeds through the Windward 
Passage, in the Gulf of Venezuela, and downwind of Hispaniola. 
Moderate to locally fresh NE winds will prevail across the 
remainder of the basin. East swell will bring rough seas near the 
Windward and Leeward Islands and their passages into the eastern 
Caribbean Sea through the week. 

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A dissipating cold front extends southwestward from the
northeastern Atlantic across 31N23W to 28N30W. Convection
previously associated with this front has dissipated overnight. 
Convergent trade winds are producing scattered moderate 
convection from the Brazilian coast to 03N between 30W and 50W. 
Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection
in the Atlantic Basin. 

An elongated 1025 mb high oriented along 30N is supporting gentle
to moderate E to SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in moderate swell
north of 27N between 50W and the Georgia/Florida coast. For the 
Atlantic from 03N to 27N west of 35W, moderate to fresh ENE winds 
along with 6 to 9 ft seas exist. Gentle to moderate SE winds and 5
to 8 ft seas in mixed swell prevail for the remainder of the 
Atlantic Basin.

For the forecast W of 55W, mainly fresh trade winds will prevail 
south of 25N through late week. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate 
winds will prevail through the middle of the week. East swell will
bring rough seas NE of the Leeward Islands and NE of Puerto Rico 
through late week. 

$$
Konarik
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