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Message   Mike Powell    All   OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur   August 11, 2024
 7:40 AM *  

ABNT20 KNHC 111121
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show some signs of
organization in association with a broad area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the
next couple of days while the system approaches and then moves near
or over the Leeward Islands.  Interests on these islands should
continue to monitor the progress of this system, and watches
or warnings could be required for portions of the area as soon as
later today.  The system could approach portions of the Greater
Antilles by the middle of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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